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Jerome Powell opened the door to the Federal Reserve raising U.S. interest rates four times this year as he acknowledged stronger economic growth may prompt policy makers to rethink their plan for three hikes.


鈥淢y personal outlook for the economy has strengthened since December,鈥?the Fed chairman said Tuesday in response to a question about what would cause the central bank to step up the pace of policy tightening. He then listed four events that are causing him to revise up his outlook.





Jerome Powell




Photographer: Andrew HarrerBloomberg




鈥淲e鈥檝e seen continuing strength in the labor market,鈥?Powell told the House Financial Services Committee in his first hearing as Fed chief. 鈥淲e鈥檝e seen some data that will in my case add some confidence to my view that inflation is moving up to target. We鈥檝e also seen continued strength around the globe, and we鈥檝e seen fiscal policy become more stimulative.鈥?p>

Powell is taking over the Fed at a time when the world鈥檚 largest economy may be shifting gear to faster growth and declining unemployment Black Markus Golden Jersey , though inflation remains below the central bank鈥檚 2 percent goal. Adding to the momentum are tax cuts and spending increases agreed to by Republican lawmakers and signed by President Donald Trump.


Economists said the signal was clear. The economic outlook is improving, and the chairman used the testimony to invite policy makers to reassess their December forecast for three hikes this year.


鈥楥lear Signal鈥?br > 鈥淚t was very, very clear signal that they are going to do a little bit more hiking this year than was in their dots in December,鈥?said Seth Carpenter Black D.J. Humphries Jersey , a former senior Fed adviser who is now chief U.S. economist at UBS Securities. 鈥淭he committee is going to have to come up with a credible argument that refutes the logic he laid out鈥?for stronger growth and possibly a faster pace of tightening.


Powell鈥檚 remarks caused yields on U.S. 10-year notes to jump to their highest levels of the day as they touched 2.92 percent after closing at 2.86 percent Monday. Stocks slipped into losses, with the S&P 500 Index down 0.9 percent at 3:39 p.m. in New York.


Fed officials will submit fresh estimates for the economy and the number of rate increases warranted this year at their upcoming meeting on March 20-21. When pressed on how such an improving assessment would affect the path of interest rates, Powell said he wouldn鈥檛 鈥渨ant to prejudge鈥?the results of that exercise.


Even though his written testimony echoed the 鈥渞oughly balanced鈥?language of the Fed鈥檚 January statement, Powell鈥檚 answers to questions signaled he鈥檚 gone a step beyond that.



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